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76ers vs Pacers prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 24

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
56% win PHIwin IND 44%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin1.9
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (15-43) host the Philadelphia 76ers (31-26) on Tuesday, February 24 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 135 – Pacers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 10-19 at home and the 76ers are 16-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Pacers and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Pacers L3, 76ers W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Pacers 114 – 116 76ers, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.9 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -4.9 / PHI -0.7 per game
-4.2
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
-1.9

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
76ers win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIIND
115.1
Points scored / game
112.5
115.9
Points allowed / game
118.3
42.8 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
32.6 %
3-point %
31.2 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
77.5 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
44.0
24.6
Assists / game
29.4
9.8
Steals / game
6.4
5.6
Blocks / game
4.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #032pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08assists
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09rebounds
Pacers
Micah PotterC · #923pts / game
Jarace WalkerF · #56assists
Kobe BrownG · #2410rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIIND
31-26Record15-43
115.1Points scored / game112.5
115.9Points allowed / game118.3
-0.7Adjusted margin / game-4.9
W1Current streakL3
5-5Last 10 games3-7
16-11 roadHome / road record10-19 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.