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Pacers vs 76ers prediction NBA · Monday, January 19

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
29% win INDwin PHI 71%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin6.9
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (22-18) host the Indiana Pacers (10-33) on Monday, January 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 104 – 76ers 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 10-11 at home and the Pacers are 2-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the 76ers and 4-6 for the Pacers (current streaks: 76ers L2, Pacers L1).

The analysis Model

The 76ers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 119 – 112 Pacers, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.5 vs -5.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' offense (115.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.5 / IND -5.0 per game
+4.6
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
+6.9

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
40%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Pacers win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

INDPHI
111.8
Points scored / game
115.1
117.7
Points allowed / game
115.7
47.1 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
31.2 %
3-point %
32.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
72.7 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
42.2
29.4
Assists / game
24.6
6.4
Steals / game
9.8
4.8
Blocks / game
5.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #225pts / game
Pascal SiakamF · #437assists
Aaron NesmithG · #2311rebounds
76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2130pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08assists
Joel EmbiidC · #219rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

INDPHI
10-33Record22-18
111.8Points scored / game115.1
117.7Points allowed / game115.7
-5.0Adjusted margin / game-0.5
L1Current streakL2
4-6Last 10 games6-4
2-17 roadHome / road record10-11 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.