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Pacers vs Nets prediction NBA · Thursday, April 9

FinalBarclays Center · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, YES, DAZN (YES)
48% win INDwin BKN 52%
FavoriteBKN
Projected margin0.5
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (20-59) host the Indiana Pacers (18-61) on Thursday, April 9 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 123 – Nets 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nets a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nets are 12-28 at home and the Pacers are 7-33 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Nets and 3-7 for the Pacers (current streaks: Nets W2, Pacers L3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nets 114 – 113 Pacers, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Nets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pacers' offense (113.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.7 / IND -5.9 per game
-1.8
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
+0.5

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pacers win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

INDBKN
113.1
Points scored / game
106.0
120.0
Points allowed / game
115.0
47.1 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
31.2 %
3-point %
36.7 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
72.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
43.5
29.4
Assists / game
24.0
6.4
Steals / game
10.0
4.8
Blocks / game
4.0
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Pacers
Obi ToppinF · #126pts / game
Jarace WalkerF · #58assists
Micah PotterC · #914rebounds
Nets
E.J. LiddellF · #926pts / game
Ben SarafG · #776assists
E.J. LiddellF · #910rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

INDBKN
18-61Record20-59
113.1Points scored / game106.0
120.0Points allowed / game115.0
-5.9Adjusted margin / game-7.7
L3Current streakW2
3-7Last 10 games3-7
7-33 roadHome / road record12-28 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.