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Nets vs Pacers prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
1-7 · away
Final score
112-103
Projected: 110-119
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
1-7 · home
22% win BKNwin IND 78%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin9.8
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (1-6) host the Brooklyn Nets (0-7) on Wednesday, November 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Nets 112 – Pacers 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 78% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 1-3 at home and the Nets are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-6 for the Pacers and 0-7 for the Nets (current streaks: Pacers L1, Nets L7).

The analysis Model

The Pacers start with a clear edge. The model projects Pacers 119 – 110 Nets, a margin of about 9.8 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.2 vs -8.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pacers' offense (115.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -1.2 / BKN -8.7 per game
+7.5
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
+9.8

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
49%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Nets win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNIND
107.6
Points scored / game
115.7
117.9
Points allowed / game
117.1
42.9 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
36.7 %
3-point %
31.2 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
76.6 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
44.0
24.0
Assists / game
29.4
10.0
Steals / game
6.4
4.0
Blocks / game
4.8
17.5
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1732pts / game
Nic ClaxtonC · #96assists
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1711rebounds
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4323pts / game
Pascal SiakamF · #4310assists
Jeremiah Robinson-EarlF · #2315rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNIND
0-7Record1-6
107.6Points scored / game115.7
117.9Points allowed / game117.1
-8.7Adjusted margin / game-1.2
L7Current streakL1
0-7Last 10 games1-6
0-3 roadHome / road record1-3 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.