Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Pacers vs Nets prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11

FinalBarclays Center · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, YES, DAZN (YES)
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
15-40 · away
Final score
115-110
Projected: 111-114
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
15-38 · home
41% win INDwin BKN 59%
FavoriteBKN
Projected margin2.7
Projected total224
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (15-37) host the Indiana Pacers (14-40) on Wednesday, February 11 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 115 – Nets 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nets a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nets are 8-18 at home and the Pacers are 4-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Nets and 4-6 for the Pacers (current streaks: Nets W2, Pacers W1).

The analysis Model

The Nets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nets 114 – 111 Pacers, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of the Nets and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pacers' offense (112.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -6.2 / IND -5.0 per game
-1.2
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPacers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
+2.7

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pacers win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

INDBKN
112.2
Points scored / game
107.1
118.1
Points allowed / game
114.4
47.1 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
31.2 %
3-point %
36.7 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
72.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
43.5
29.4
Assists / game
24.0
6.4
Steals / game
10.0
4.8
Blocks / game
4.0
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Pacers
Jarace WalkerF · #523pts / game
Kam JonesG · #196assists
Micah PotterC · #912rebounds
Nets
Nolan TraoreG · #1020pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #108assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #2012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

INDBKN
14-40Record15-37
112.2Points scored / game107.1
118.1Points allowed / game114.4
-5.0Adjusted margin / game-6.2
W1Current streakW2
4-6Last 10 games3-7
4-22 roadHome / road record8-18 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.