Thunder vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 8
At a glance
The LA Clippers (41-38) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (63-16) on Wednesday, April 8 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 128 – Clippers 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 22-17 at home and the Thunder are 29-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Clippers and 9-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Clippers W2, Thunder W6).
The analysis Model
The Thunder are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 109 – 116 Thunder, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers and the Thunder played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.7 vs +10.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCLAC
Top performers
Thunder
Chet HolmgrenC · #730pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #211assistsChet HolmgrenC · #714reboundsClippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #220pts / game
Jordan MillerG · #226assists
John CollinsF · #209reboundsRecent form
OKCLAC
OKC
Team comparison
| OKC | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 63-16 | Record | 41-38 |
| 119.4 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 107.3 | Points allowed / game | 111.9 |
| +10.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.7 |
| W6 | Current streak | W2 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 29-9 road | Home / road record | 22-17 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+4.7) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.