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Clippers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Thursday, December 18

FinalPaycom Center · FanDuel SN OK, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA TV
8% win LACwin OKC 92%
FavoriteOKC
Projected margin17.5
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Oklahoma City Thunder (24-2) host the LA Clippers (6-20) on Thursday, December 18 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 101 – Thunder 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 92% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 12-1 at home and the Clippers are 3-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 1-9 for the Clippers (current streaks: Thunder L1, Clippers L4).

The analysis Model

The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 122 – 105 Clippers, a margin of about 17.5 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+13.2 vs -2.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Thunder's offense (122.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Thunder
Team strength (adjusted point differential)OKC +13.2 / LAC -2.0 per game
+15.2
Home-court advantageThunder at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Thunder
+17.5

Scenarios

Thunder win by 10+
72%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
12%
Clippers win by 10+
1%

Stat comparison Current season

LACOKC
111.8
Points scored / game
122.3
114.1
Points allowed / game
106.8
45.9 %
Field goal %
44.0 %
39.0 %
3-point %
30.9 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
32.4
78.6 %
Free throw %
86.4 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
46.0
25.0
Assists / game
22.0
12.5
Steals / game
8.4
4.5
Blocks / game
6.8
23.0
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #222pts / game
Kawhi LeonardF · #26assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4011rebounds
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #232pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #26assists
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #27rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
OKC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACOKC
6-20Record24-2
111.8Points scored / game122.3
114.1Points allowed / game106.8
-2.0Adjusted margin / game+13.2
L4Current streakL1
1-9Last 10 games9-1
3-12 roadHome / road record12-1 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season68-14 (+12.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury report Thunder

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.