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Thunder vs Clippers prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 4

FinalIntuit Dome · NBC, Peacock, FanDuel SN OK
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
8-0 · away
Final score
126-107
Projected: 116-108
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
3-4 · home
73% win OKCwin LAC 27%
FavoriteOKC
Projected margin7.7
Projected total225
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The LA Clippers (3-3) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (7-0) on Tuesday, November 4 at 11:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 126 – Clippers 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 3-1 at home and the Thunder are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-3 for the Clippers and 7-0 for the Thunder (current streaks: Clippers L1, Thunder W7).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Clippers 108 – 116 Thunder, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+2.4 vs +10.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Thunder's offense (121.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +2.4 / OKC +10.8 per game
-8.4
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Clippers
-7.7

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
8%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Thunder win by 10+
43%

Stat comparison Current season

OKCLAC
121.1
Points scored / game
112.8
108.4
Points allowed / game
109.9
44.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
30.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
32.4
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
86.4 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
46.0
Rebounds / game
40.8
22.0
Assists / game
25.0
8.4
Steals / game
12.5
6.8
Blocks / game
4.5
13.6
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #230pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #212assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #557rebounds
Clippers
James HardenG · #125pts / game
James HardenG · #16assists
Ivica ZubacC · #407rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
OKC
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

OKCLAC
7-0Record3-3
121.1Points scored / game112.8
108.4Points allowed / game109.9
+10.8Adjusted margin / game+2.4
W7Current streakL1
7-0Last 10 games3-3
3-0 roadHome / road record3-1 home
68-14 (+12.9)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury report Thunder

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.