Thunder vs Clippers prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 4
At a glance
The LA Clippers (3-3) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (7-0) on Tuesday, November 4 at 11:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 126 – Clippers 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 3-1 at home and the Thunder are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-3 for the Clippers and 7-0 for the Thunder (current streaks: Clippers L1, Thunder W7).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Clippers 108 – 116 Thunder, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+2.4 vs +10.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCLAC
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #230pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #212assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #557rebounds
Clippers
James HardenG · #125pts / game
James HardenG · #16assists
Ivica ZubacC · #407reboundsRecent form
OKC
LACTeam comparison
| OKC | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-0 | Record | 3-3 |
| 121.1 | Points scored / game | 112.8 |
| 108.4 | Points allowed / game | 109.9 |
| +10.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.4 |
| W7 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-0 | Last 10 games | 3-3 |
| 3-0 road | Home / road record | 3-1 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+4.7) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
OKC