Trail Blazers vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Monday, April 6
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (50-28) host the Portland Trail Blazers (40-38) on Monday, April 6 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 132 – Nuggets 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 25-13 at home and the Trail Blazers are 18-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Nuggets and 8-2 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Nuggets W8, Trail Blazers W3).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nuggets 121 – 114 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.9 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORDEN
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Toumani CamaraF · #3330pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #511assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2312reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1535pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1513assistsNikola JokicC · #1514reboundsRecent form
PORDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| POR | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-38 | Record | 50-28 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 121.5 |
| 115.6 | Points allowed / game | 116.8 |
| -0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| W3 | Current streak | W8 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 18-21 road | Home / road record | 25-13 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.