Trail Blazers vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Sunday, March 22
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (43-28) host the Portland Trail Blazers (35-36) on Sunday, March 22 at 5:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 112 – Nuggets 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 20-13 at home and the Trail Blazers are 17-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Nuggets and 6-4 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Nuggets W1, Trail Blazers W3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Nuggets 121 – 113 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 7.6 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.6 vs -1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORDEN
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #823pts / gameDeni AvdijaF · #814assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2313reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1522pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1514assistsNikola JokicC · #1514reboundsRecent form
PORDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| POR | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-36 | Record | 43-28 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 120.7 |
| 116.6 | Points allowed / game | 116.5 |
| -1.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.6 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 17-20 road | Home / road record | 20-13 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.