Rockets vs Warriors prediction NBA · Sunday, April 5
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (36-41) host the Houston Rockets (48-29) on Sunday, April 5 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 117 – Warriors 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 21-17 at home and the Rockets are 20-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 7-3 for the Rockets (current streaks: Warriors L3, Rockets W5).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 113 – 114 Rockets, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUGS
Top performers
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #731pts / gameKevin DurantF · #78assists
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #109reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3029pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #2312assists
Kristaps PorzingisC · #78reboundsRecent form
HOUGS
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 48-29 | Record | 36-41 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 109.9 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| +4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| W5 | Current streak | L3 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 20-19 road | Home / road record | 21-17 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.