Warriors vs Rockets prediction NBA · Thursday, March 5
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (38-22) host the Golden State Warriors (31-30) on Thursday, March 5 at 7:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 115 – Rockets 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 67% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 20-7 at home and the Warriors are 12-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Rockets and 4-6 for the Warriors (current streaks: Rockets W1, Warriors L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Warriors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Rockets 116 – 110 Warriors, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSHOU
Top performers
Warriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #226pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #238assistsBrandin PodziemskiG · #29reboundsRockets
Reed SheppardG · #1530pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #287assists
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1011reboundsRecent form
GSHOU
HOU
Team comparison
| GS | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-30 | Record | 38-22 |
| 115.1 | Points scored / game | 114.6 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 109.4 |
| +1.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 12-17 road | Home / road record | 20-7 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.