Rockets vs Warriors prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 26
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (10-9) host the Houston Rockets (11-4) on Wednesday, November 26 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 104 – Warriors 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 6-1 at home and the Rockets are 6-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Warriors and 8-2 for the Rockets (current streaks: Warriors W1, Rockets W1).
The analysis Model
The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Warriors 113 – 116 Rockets, a margin of about 3.1 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.5 vs +7.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUGS
Top performers
Rockets
Reed SheppardG · #1531pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #286assists
Amen ThompsonG · #114reboundsWarriors
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #1021pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #238assistsDraymond GreenF · #239reboundsRecent form
HOUGS
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-4 | Record | 10-9 |
| 118.7 | Points scored / game | 115.0 |
| 110.5 | Points allowed / game | 113.3 |
| +7.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.5 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 6-2 road | Home / road record | 6-1 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.