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Clippers vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, April 5

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBC Sports CA, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
40-38 · away
Final score
138-109
Projected: 118-111
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
21-58 · home
69% win LACwin SAC 31%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin6.3
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (21-57) host the LA Clippers (39-38) on Sunday, April 5 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 138 – Kings 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 14-25 at home and the Clippers are 18-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Kings and 5-5 for the Clippers (current streaks: Kings W2, Clippers L2).

The analysis Model

The Clippers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 111 – 118 Clippers, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.3 vs +1.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -7.3 / LAC +1.3 per game
-8.6
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-6.3

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
10%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Clippers win by 10+
38%

Stat comparison Current season

LACSAC
113.6
Points scored / game
111.6
112.0
Points allowed / game
120.2
45.9 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
39.0 %
3-point %
30.0 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
78.6 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
41.5
25.0
Assists / game
22.8
12.5
Steals / game
6.8
4.5
Blocks / game
2.5
23.0
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #226pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #26rebounds
Kings
Devin CarterG · #9921pts / game
Devin CarterG · #995assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4215rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACSAC
39-38Record21-57
113.6Points scored / game111.6
112.0Points allowed / game120.2
+1.3Adjusted margin / game-7.3
L2Current streakW2
5-5Last 10 games4-6
18-21 roadHome / road record14-25 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.