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Kings vs Clippers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 30

FinalIntuit Dome · NBC Sports CA, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
8-25 · away
Final score
90-131
Projected: 111-118
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
11-21 · home
27% win SACwin LAC 73%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin7.7
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The LA Clippers (10-21) host the Sacramento Kings (8-24) on Tuesday, December 30 at 11:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Kings 90 – Clippers 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 6-8 at home and the Kings are 3-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Clippers and 3-7 for the Kings (current streaks: Clippers W4, Kings L1).

The analysis Model

The Clippers start with a clear edge. The model projects Clippers 118 – 111 Kings, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.9 vs -6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC -0.9 / SAC -6.3 per game
+5.4
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+7.7

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Kings win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

SACLAC
112.8
Points scored / game
111.9
120.2
Points allowed / game
112.9
44.5 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
30.0 %
3-point %
39.0 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
73.1 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
40.8
22.8
Assists / game
25.0
6.8
Steals / game
12.5
2.5
Blocks / game
4.5
14.3
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Kings
Nique CliffordG · #1018pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #184assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4212rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #233pts / game
Kawhi LeonardF · #25assists
Yanic Konan NiederhauserC · #146rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACLAC
8-24Record10-21
112.8Points scored / game111.9
120.2Points allowed / game112.9
-6.3Adjusted margin / game-0.9
L1Current streakW4
3-7Last 10 games5-5
3-14 roadHome / road record6-8 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.