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Kings vs Clippers prediction NBA · Saturday, March 14

FinalIntuit Dome · ESPN, NBC Sports CA, FanDuel SN SoCal
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
17-51 · away
Final score
118-109
Projected: 109-118
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
34-33 · home
23% win SACwin LAC 77%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin9.3
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The LA Clippers (34-32) host the Sacramento Kings (16-51) on Saturday, March 14 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Kings 118 – Clippers 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 19-13 at home and the Kings are 5-28 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Clippers and 4-6 for the Kings (current streaks: Clippers W4, Kings L1).

The analysis Model

The Clippers start with a clear edge. The model projects Clippers 118 – 109 Kings, a margin of about 9.3 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.3 vs -7.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.3 / SAC -7.3 per game
+8.6
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Clippers
+9.3

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
48%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Kings win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

SACLAC
111.4
Points scored / game
113.4
120.0
Points allowed / game
111.8
44.5 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
30.0 %
3-point %
39.0 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
73.1 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
40.8
22.8
Assists / game
25.0
6.8
Steals / game
12.5
2.5
Blocks / game
4.5
14.3
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1027pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1810assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #913rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #231pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #107assists
Isaiah JacksonF · #238rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACLAC
16-51Record34-32
111.4Points scored / game113.4
120.0Points allowed / game111.8
-7.3Adjusted margin / game+1.3
L1Current streakW4
4-6Last 10 games7-3
5-28 roadHome / road record19-13 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.