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Wizards vs Nets prediction NBA · Sunday, April 5

FinalBarclays Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass, WLNY
32% win WSHwin BKN 68%
FavoriteBKN
Projected margin5.9
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (18-59) host the Washington Wizards (17-60) on Sunday, April 5 at 3:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 115 – Nets 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nets a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 10-28 at home and the Wizards are 6-33 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Nets and 1-9 for the Wizards (current streaks: Nets L2, Wizards L5).

The analysis Model

The Nets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nets 117 – 111 Wizards, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of the Nets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Wizards' offense (112.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -8.0 / WSH -10.0 per game
+2.0
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backWizards played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
+5.9

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Wizards win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHBKN
112.3
Points scored / game
105.9
124.1
Points allowed / game
115.3
48.0 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
28.5 %
3-point %
36.7 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
83.1 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
43.5
25.8
Assists / game
24.0
7.4
Steals / game
10.0
5.6
Blocks / game
4.0
13.6
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Wizards
Will RileyG · #2730pts / game
Will RileyG · #276assists
Julian ReeseF · #1316rebounds
Nets
Nolan TraoreG · #1023pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #107assists
Trevon ScottF · #138rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHBKN
17-60Record18-59
112.3Points scored / game105.9
124.1Points allowed / game115.3
-10.0Adjusted margin / game-8.0
L5Current streakL2
1-9Last 10 games1-9
6-33 roadHome / road record10-28 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.