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Nets vs Wizards prediction NBA · Sunday, November 16

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
52% win BKNwin WSH 48%
FavoriteBKN
Projected margin0.7
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (1-11) host the Brooklyn Nets (1-11) on Sunday, November 16 at 6:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 129 – Wizards 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nets a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 0-5 at home and the Nets are 1-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Wizards and 1-9 for the Nets (current streaks: Wizards L10, Nets L4).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Wizards 115 – 116 Nets, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Nets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Wizards' offense (110.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -12.2 / BKN -9.1 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-0.7

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Nets win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNWSH
107.0
Points scored / game
110.8
117.7
Points allowed / game
125.1
42.9 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
36.7 %
3-point %
28.5 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
76.6 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
40.0
24.0
Assists / game
25.8
10.0
Steals / game
7.4
4.0
Blocks / game
5.6
17.5
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1734pts / game
Michael Porter Jr.F · #177assists
Michael Porter Jr.F · #179rebounds
Wizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1829pts / game
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #185assists
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #186rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNWSH
1-11Record1-11
107.0Points scored / game110.8
117.7Points allowed / game125.1
-9.1Adjusted margin / game-12.2
L4Current streakL10
1-9Last 10 games0-10
1-5 roadHome / road record0-5 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.