Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Nets vs Wizards prediction NBA · Friday, January 2

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
54% win BKNwin WSH 46%
FavoriteBKN
Projected margin1.4
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (8-24) host the Brooklyn Nets (10-21) on Friday, January 2 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 99 – Wizards 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nets a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 4-11 at home and the Nets are 6-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Wizards and 5-5 for the Nets (current streaks: Wizards W1, Nets L2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Wizards 113 – 114 Nets, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Nets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-10.0 vs -4.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Wizards' offense (111.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -10.0 / BKN -4.7 per game
-5.3
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Back-to-backNets played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Wizards
-1.4

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Nets win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNWSH
108.1
Points scored / game
111.8
113.6
Points allowed / game
123.5
42.9 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
36.7 %
3-point %
28.5 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
76.6 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
40.0
24.0
Assists / game
25.8
10.0
Steals / game
7.4
4.0
Blocks / game
5.6
17.5
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Nets
Day'Ron SharpeC · #2014pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #105assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #209rebounds
Wizards
Justin ChampagnieF · #920pts / game
Alex SarrC · #204assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #38rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNWSH
10-21Record8-24
108.1Points scored / game111.8
113.6Points allowed / game123.5
-4.7Adjusted margin / game-10.0
L2Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
6-8 roadHome / road record4-11 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.