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Pelicans vs Kings prediction NBA · Friday, April 3

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBC Sports CA, GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA TV
47% win NOwin SAC 53%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin0.9
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (20-57) host the New Orleans Pelicans (25-52) on Friday, April 3 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 113 – Kings 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 13-25 at home and the Pelicans are 9-29 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Kings and 3-7 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Kings W1, Pelicans L6).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Kings 116 – 115 Pelicans, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -7.4 / NO -4.4 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPelicans played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Kings
+0.9

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pelicans win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

NOSAC
114.3
Points scored / game
111.5
119.5
Points allowed / game
120.3
46.5 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
29.0 %
3-point %
30.0 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
83.6 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
41.5
23.5
Assists / game
22.8
12.3
Steals / game
6.8
4.8
Blocks / game
2.5
16.5
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Pelicans
Jeremiah FearsG · #028pts / game
Jeremiah FearsG · #06assists
Jeremiah FearsG · #08rebounds
Kings
Maxime RaynaudC · #4228pts / game
Nique CliffordG · #106assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #429rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NOSAC
25-52Record20-57
114.3Points scored / game111.5
119.5Points allowed / game120.3
-4.4Adjusted margin / game-7.4
L6Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games4-6
9-29 roadHome / road record13-25 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.