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Kings vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Monday, February 9

FinalSmoothie King Center · GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
40% win SACwin NO 60%
FavoriteNO
Projected margin3.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans (14-40) host the Sacramento Kings (12-42) on Monday, February 9 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 94 – Pelicans 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pelicans a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 8-19 at home and the Kings are 3-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pelicans and 0-10 for the Kings (current streaks: Pelicans W1, Kings L12).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pelicans, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 118 – 115 Kings, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Pelicans and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -5.8 / SAC -6.8 per game
+1.0
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pelicans
+3.3

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Kings win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

SACNO
111.7
Points scored / game
113.7
119.7
Points allowed / game
120.6
44.5 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
30.0 %
3-point %
29.0 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
73.1 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
44.3
22.8
Assists / game
23.5
6.8
Steals / game
12.3
2.5
Blocks / game
4.8
14.3
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

Kings
Maxime RaynaudC · #4221pts / game
Nique CliffordG · #106assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4219rebounds
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2521pts / game
Trey Murphy IIIF · #257assists
Karlo MatkovicF · #179rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACNO
12-42Record14-40
111.7Points scored / game113.7
119.7Points allowed / game120.6
-6.8Adjusted margin / game-5.8
L12Current streakW1
0-10Last 10 games4-6
3-23 roadHome / road record8-19 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.