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Pelicans vs Kings prediction NBA · Thursday, March 5

FinalGolden 1 Center · GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
51% win NOwin SAC 49%
FavoriteNO
Projected margin0.4
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (14-49) host the New Orleans Pelicans (19-44) on Thursday, March 5 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 133 – Kings 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pelicans a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 9-21 at home and the Pelicans are 8-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 6-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Kings L2, Pelicans L2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Kings 116 – 117 Pelicans, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Pelicans and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -7.7 / NO -5.1 per game
-2.7
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-0.4

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pelicans win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

NOSAC
114.1
Points scored / game
111.1
120.0
Points allowed / game
120.2
46.5 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
29.0 %
3-point %
30.0 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
83.6 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
41.5
23.5
Assists / game
22.8
12.3
Steals / game
6.8
4.8
Blocks / game
2.5
16.5
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #123pts / game
Jeremiah FearsG · #06assists
Zion WilliamsonF · #19rebounds
Kings
Precious AchiuwaF · #929pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1810assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #912rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NOSAC
19-44Record14-49
114.1Points scored / game111.1
120.0Points allowed / game120.2
-5.1Adjusted margin / game-7.7
L2Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games2-8
8-23 roadHome / road record9-21 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.