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Jazz vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, April 3

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · Space City Home Network, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
21-57 · away
Final score
106-140
Projected: 110-123
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
48-29 · home
15% win UTAHwin HOU 85%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin13.2
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (47-29) host the Utah Jazz (21-56) on Friday, April 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 106 – Rockets 140. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 27-10 at home and the Jazz are 8-29 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 1-9 for the Jazz (current streaks: Rockets W4, Jazz L7).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 123 – 110 Jazz, a margin of about 13.2 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.8 vs -7.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +3.8 / UTAH -7.0 per game
+10.9
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+13.2

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
60%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
18%
Jazz win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHHOU
116.6
Points scored / game
114.4
124.9
Points allowed / game
109.9
45.4 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
33.9 %
3-point %
40.4 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
76.6 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
26.8
Assists / game
28.2
5.0
Steals / game
10.2
6.4
Blocks / game
6.0
17.0
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Jazz
Cody WilliamsF · #927pts / game
Brice SensabaughF · #285assists
Cody WilliamsF · #911rebounds
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #725pts / game
Reed SheppardG · #157assists
Amen ThompsonG · #18rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHHOU
21-56Record47-29
116.6Points scored / game114.4
124.9Points allowed / game109.9
-7.0Adjusted margin / game+3.8
L7Current streakW4
1-9Last 10 games6-4
8-29 roadHome / road record27-10 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.