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Rockets vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, December 1

FinalDelta Center · Space City Home Network, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
13-5 · away
Final score
125-133
Projected: 122-110
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
7-13 · home
84% win HOUwin UTAH 16%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin12.2
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (6-13) host the Houston Rockets (13-4) on Monday, December 1 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 125 – Jazz 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 84% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Jazz are 5-6 at home and the Rockets are 8-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Jazz and 8-2 for the Rockets (current streaks: Jazz L1, Rockets W3).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Jazz 110 – 122 Rockets, a margin of about 12.2 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz and the Rockets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.1 vs +7.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' offense (118.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.1 / HOU +7.4 per game
-14.5
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-12.2

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
4%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
20%
Rockets win by 10+
57%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUUTAH
118.6
Points scored / game
115.4
109.8
Points allowed / game
123.8
51.7 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
40.4 %
3-point %
33.9 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
84.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
46.8
28.2
Assists / game
26.8
10.2
Steals / game
5.0
6.0
Blocks / game
6.4
15.8
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #732pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #2814assists
Kevin DurantF · #79rebounds
Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2329pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #38assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #309rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

HOUUTAH
13-4Record6-13
118.6Points scored / game115.4
109.8Points allowed / game123.8
+7.4Adjusted margin / game-7.1
W3Current streakL1
8-2Last 10 games3-7
8-2 roadHome / road record5-6 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.