Spurs vs Clippers prediction NBA · Thursday, April 2
At a glance
The LA Clippers (39-37) host the San Antonio Spurs (58-19) on Thursday, April 2 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 118 – Clippers 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 21-16 at home and the Spurs are 29-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Clippers and 10-0 for the Spurs (current streaks: Clippers L1, Spurs W10).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Clippers 113 – 114 Spurs, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.5 vs +5.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SALAC
Top performers
Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #422pts / gameDe'Aaron FoxG · #45assists
Devin VassellG · #2410reboundsClippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #224pts / gameKawhi LeonardF · #25assists
Bennedict MathurinG · #247reboundsRecent form
SALAC
LAC
Team comparison
| SA | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 58-19 | Record | 39-37 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 112.2 | Points allowed / game | 111.9 |
| +5.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.5 |
| W10 | Current streak | L1 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 29-12 road | Home / road record | 21-16 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 50-32 (+4.7) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.