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Clippers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Friday, March 6

FinalFrost Bank Center · ESPN, FanDuel SN SoCal, FanDuel SN SW
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
30-32 · away
Final score
112-116
Projected: 111-115
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
46-17 · home
37% win LACwin SA 63%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin4.1
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (45-18) host the LA Clippers (30-31) on Friday, March 6 at 9:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 112 – Spurs 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 22-6 at home and the Clippers are 14-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Spurs and 6-4 for the Clippers (current streaks: Spurs W2, Clippers W3).

The analysis Model

The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 115 – 111 Clippers, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Spurs' offense (117.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +4.3 / LAC +0.9 per game
+3.4
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Back-to-backSpurs played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Spurs
+4.1

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Clippers win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

LACSA
112.5
Points scored / game
117.5
111.4
Points allowed / game
112.4
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.0 %
39.0 %
3-point %
34.6 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
78.3 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
45.0
25.0
Assists / game
28.2
12.5
Steals / game
9.8
4.5
Blocks / game
6.6
23.0
Turnovers / game
12.8

Top performers

Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #230pts / game
Jordan MillerG · #226assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #29rebounds
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #127pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #49assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #110rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
SA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACSA
30-31Record45-18
112.5Points scored / game117.5
111.4Points allowed / game112.4
+0.9Adjusted margin / game+4.3
W3Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games9-1
14-18 roadHome / road record22-6 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season34-48 (-2.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.