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Spurs vs Clippers prediction NBA · Monday, March 16

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN SoCal, KENS 5, NBCSN Extra
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
50-18 · away
Final score
119-115
Projected: 115-113
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
34-34 · home
53% win SAwin LAC 47%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin1.0
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (34-33) host the San Antonio Spurs (49-19) on Monday, March 16 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 119 – Clippers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 19-14 at home and the Spurs are 23-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Clippers and 8-2 for the Spurs (current streaks: Clippers L1, Spurs W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Clippers 113 – 115 Spurs, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Spurs' offense (118.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.2 / SA +4.5 per game
-3.3
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
-1.0

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

SALAC
118.0
Points scored / game
113.3
112.7
Points allowed / game
111.9
46.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
34.6 %
3-point %
39.0 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
78.3 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
40.8
28.2
Assists / game
25.0
9.8
Steals / game
12.5
6.6
Blocks / game
4.5
12.8
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Spurs
Stephon CastleG · #523pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #58assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #113rebounds
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1025pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #1010assists
Jordan MillerG · #229rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SALAC
49-19Record34-33
118.0Points scored / game113.3
112.7Points allowed / game111.9
+4.5Adjusted margin / game+1.2
W1Current streakL1
8-2Last 10 games7-3
23-12 roadHome / road record19-14 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.