Suns vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Monday, March 30
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (25-49) host the Phoenix Suns (41-33) on Monday, March 30 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Suns 131 – Grizzlies 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 14-23 at home and the Suns are 17-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Grizzlies and 4-6 for the Suns (current streaks: Grizzlies W1, Suns W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Grizzlies 114 – 115 Suns, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXMEM
Top performers
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1536pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #1210assists
Khaman MaluachC · #1011reboundsGrizzlies
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #17assists
DeJon JarreauG · #778reboundsRecent form
PHXMEM
MEM
Team comparison
| PHX | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-33 | Record | 25-49 |
| 112.8 | Points scored / game | 116.1 |
| 111.9 | Points allowed / game | 118.9 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 17-18 road | Home / road record | 14-23 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.