Grizzlies vs Suns prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 29
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (1-3) host the Memphis Grizzlies (2-2) on Wednesday, October 29 at 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 114 – Suns 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 1-0 at home and the Grizzlies are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Suns and 2-2 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Suns L3, Grizzlies L1).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 116 – 121 Grizzlies, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-4.5 vs +2.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (121.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMPHX
Top performers
Grizzlies
Ja MorantG · #128pts / gameJa MorantG · #17assists
Santi AldamaF · #3410reboundsSuns
Devin BookerG · #1532pts / game
Royce O'NealeF · #005assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2512reboundsRecent form
MEMPHX
MEM
Team comparison
| MEM | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 121.8 | Points scored / game | 114.4 |
| 119.0 | Points allowed / game | 119.7 |
| +2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 2-2 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.