Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Suns vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN SE, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
48% win PHXwin MEM 52%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin0.5
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (16-20) host the Phoenix Suns (21-15) on Wednesday, January 7 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Suns 117 – Grizzlies 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 8-9 at home and the Suns are 9-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Grizzlies and 7-3 for the Suns (current streaks: Grizzlies W1, Suns L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Grizzlies 116 – 115 Suns, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +0.4 / PHX +0.6 per game
-0.2
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Back-to-backGrizzlies played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+0.5

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Suns win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXMEM
114.5
Points scored / game
117.2
113.8
Points allowed / game
116.7
45.6 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
31.9 %
3-point %
39.1 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
73.9 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
50.0
25.3
Assists / game
25.0
8.7
Steals / game
6.3
5.3
Blocks / game
6.3
14.0
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #321pts / game
Devin BookerG · #158assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2512rebounds
Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2019pts / game
Javon SmallG · #107assists
Jock LandaleC · #318rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHXMEM
21-15Record16-20
114.5Points scored / game117.2
113.8Points allowed / game116.7
+0.6Adjusted margin / game+0.4
L1Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games4-6
9-10 roadHome / road record8-9 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.