76ers vs Heat prediction NBA · Monday, March 30
At a glance
The Miami Heat (39-36) host the Philadelphia 76ers (41-33) on Monday, March 30 at 7:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 109 – Heat 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Heat are 23-14 at home and the 76ers are 20-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Heat and 7-3 for the 76ers (current streaks: Heat L2, 76ers W2).
The analysis Model
The Heat are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Heat 118 – 114 76ers, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Heat played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHIMIA
Top performers
76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2126pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
Kelly Oubre Jr.G · #1011reboundsHeat
Tyler HerroG · #1130pts / game
Bam AdebayoC · #136assistsBam AdebayoC · #1316reboundsRecent form
PHIMIAHead-to-head
MIA lead 2-1 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| PHI | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-33 | Record | 39-36 |
| 115.3 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 116.8 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.8 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 20-16 road | Home / road record | 23-14 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.