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Heat vs 76ers prediction NBA · Thursday, February 26

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · FanDuel SN Sun, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
31-29 · away
Final score
117-124
Projected: 117-116
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
33-26 · home
51% win MIAwin PHI 49%
FavoriteMIA
Projected margin0.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (32-26) host the Miami Heat (31-28) on Thursday, February 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Heat 117 – 76ers 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the 76ers are 15-15 at home and the Heat are 14-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the 76ers and 5-5 for the Heat (current streaks: 76ers W2, Heat L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects 76ers 116 – 117 Heat, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Heat's offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.5 / MIA +2.1 per game
-2.6
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-0.3

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Heat win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

MIAPHI
118.4
Points scored / game
115.4
115.9
Points allowed / game
115.9
45.3 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
31.7 %
3-point %
32.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
71.7 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
42.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
27.0
Assists / game
24.6
8.4
Steals / game
9.8
5.4
Blocks / game
5.6
14.2
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Heat
Bam AdebayoC · #1329pts / game
Tyler HerroG · #117assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1314rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #011assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2111rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIA
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MIAPHI
31-28Record32-26
118.4Points scored / game115.4
115.9Points allowed / game115.9
+2.1Adjusted margin / game-0.5
L1Current streakW2
5-5Last 10 games5-5
14-17 roadHome / road record15-15 home
37-45 (+0.6)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Miami Heat Injury report Heat

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.