Heat vs 76ers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 23
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (9-6) host the Miami Heat (10-6) on Sunday, November 23 at 1:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Heat 127 – 76ers 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 5-3 at home and the Heat are 3-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the 76ers and 7-3 for the Heat (current streaks: 76ers W1, Heat W3).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects 76ers 115 – 117 Heat, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-1.3 vs +3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIAPHI
Top performers
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2432pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #212assists
Kel'el WareC · #916rebounds76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #027pts / game
Trendon WatfordF · #97assists
Andre DrummondC · #024reboundsRecent form
MIAPHIHead-to-head
MIA lead 2-1 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| MIA | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-6 | Record | 9-6 |
| 118.7 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 116.0 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.3 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 3-5 road | Home / road record | 5-3 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 24-58 (-6.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.