Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Magic vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, March 29

FinalScotiabank Arena · FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass, TSN
43% win ORLwin TOR 57%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin2.4
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (41-32) host the Orlando Magic (39-34) on Sunday, March 29 at 6:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 87 – Raptors 139. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 20-16 at home and the Magic are 16-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 4-6 for the Magic (current streaks: Raptors W1, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Raptors 115 – 112 Magic, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.7 / ORL +0.7 per game
+0.1
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+2.4

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLTOR
114.3
Points scored / game
113.5
113.5
Points allowed / game
112.7
44.2 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
31.4 %
3-point %
30.4 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
75.0 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
45.8
26.0
Assists / game
27.3
7.8
Steals / game
14.3
4.5
Blocks / game
5.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Magic
Desmond BaneG · #317pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #45assists
Paolo BancheroF · #55rebounds
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #924pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #415assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #197rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLTOR
39-34Record41-32
114.3Points scored / game113.5
113.5Points allowed / game112.7
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+0.7
W1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
16-19 roadHome / road record20-16 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.