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Magic vs Raptors prediction NBA · Monday, December 29

FinalScotiabank Arena · FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass, Sportsnet
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
18-15 · away
Final score
106-107
Projected: 113-112
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
20-14 · home
51% win ORLwin TOR 49%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin0.4
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (19-14) host the Orlando Magic (18-14) on Monday, December 29 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 106 – Raptors 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 9-7 at home and the Magic are 7-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Raptors and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Raptors W1, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Raptors 112 – 113 Magic, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR -0.1 / ORL +1.1 per game
-1.1
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Back-to-backRaptors played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Raptors
-0.4

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLTOR
113.9
Points scored / game
113.4
112.7
Points allowed / game
113.5
44.2 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
31.4 %
3-point %
30.4 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
75.0 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
45.8
26.0
Assists / game
27.3
7.8
Steals / game
14.3
4.5
Blocks / game
5.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Magic
Anthony BlackG · #027pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #510assists
Paolo BancheroF · #515rebounds
Raptors
Jamal SheadG · #2319pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #235assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #3012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLTOR
18-14Record19-14
113.9Points scored / game113.4
112.7Points allowed / game113.5
+1.1Adjusted margin / game-0.1
W1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games4-6
7-8 roadHome / road record9-7 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.