Jazz vs Suns prediction NBA · Saturday, March 28
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (40-33) host the Utah Jazz (21-53) on Saturday, March 28 at 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 109 – Suns 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 23-15 at home and the Jazz are 8-28 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Suns and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: Suns L1, Jazz L4).
The analysis Model
The Suns start with a clear edge. The model projects Suns 121 – 110 Jazz, a margin of about 11.2 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.5 vs -6.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Jazz's offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHPHX
Top performers
Jazz
Kyle FilipowskiF · #226pts / game
Kennedy ChandlerG · #28assistsKyle FilipowskiF · #29reboundsSuns
Jalen GreenG · #431pts / game
Devin BookerG · #158assists
Khaman MaluachC · #109reboundsRecent form
UTAHPHXHead-to-head
PHX lead 2-1 this season.
PHX
Team comparison
| UTAH | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-53 | Record | 40-33 |
| 116.7 | Points scored / game | 112.6 |
| 124.7 | Points allowed / game | 111.9 |
| -6.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.5 |
| L4 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 8-28 road | Home / road record | 23-15 home |
| 17-65 (-9.3) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.