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Jazz vs Suns prediction NBA · Friday, October 31

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
2-3 · away
Final score
96-118
Projected: 116-119
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
2-4 · home
41% win UTAHwin PHX 59%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin2.8
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (1-4) host the Utah Jazz (2-2) on Friday, October 31 at 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 96 – Suns 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 1-1 at home and the Jazz are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Suns and 2-2 for the Jazz (current streaks: Suns L4, Jazz L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Suns, but the Jazz have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Suns 119 – 116 Jazz, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX -4.3 / UTAH -4.8 per game
+0.5
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+2.8

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Jazz win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHPHX
115.5
Points scored / game
114.3
121.1
Points allowed / game
119.4
45.4 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
33.9 %
3-point %
31.9 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
76.6 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
39.7
26.8
Assists / game
25.3
5.0
Steals / game
8.7
6.4
Blocks / game
5.3
17.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2333pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #39assists
Walker KesslerC · #1413rebounds
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1536pts / game
Devin BookerG · #159assists
Ryan DunnF · #010rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHPHX
2-2Record1-4
115.5Points scored / game114.3
121.1Points allowed / game119.4
-4.8Adjusted margin / game-4.3
L1Current streakL4
2-2Last 10 games1-4
0-1 roadHome / road record1-1 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.