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Suns vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, October 27

FinalDelta Center · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
1-3 · away
Final score
134-138
Projected: 115-116
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
2-1 · home
46% win PHXwin UTAH 54%
FavoriteUTAH
Projected margin1.3
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (1-1) host the Phoenix Suns (1-2) on Monday, October 27 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 134 – Jazz 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Jazz a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 1-0 at home and the Suns are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Jazz and 1-2 for the Suns (current streaks: Jazz L1, Suns L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Jazz 116 – 115 Suns, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Jazz and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -5.6 / PHX -4.6 per game
-1.0
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
+1.3

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Suns win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXUTAH
113.1
Points scored / game
112.5
118.5
Points allowed / game
119.1
45.6 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
31.9 %
3-point %
33.9 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
73.9 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
46.8
25.3
Assists / game
26.8
8.7
Steals / game
5.0
5.3
Blocks / game
6.4
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1534pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #1213assists
Royce O'NealeF · #0013rebounds
Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2351pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #310assists
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2314rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHXUTAH
1-2Record1-1
113.1Points scored / game112.5
118.5Points allowed / game119.1
-4.6Adjusted margin / game-5.6
L2Current streakL1
1-2Last 10 games1-1
0-2 roadHome / road record1-0 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.