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Mavericks vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Friday, March 27

FinalModa Center · NBA TV, KUNP 16, BlazerVision, KFAA-TV, MavsTV
34% win DALwin POR 66%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin5.1
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (37-37) host the Dallas Mavericks (23-50) on Friday, March 27 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 100 – Trail Blazers 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Trail Blazers are 20-16 at home and the Mavericks are 9-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Trail Blazers and 2-8 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Trail Blazers W2, Mavericks L5).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Trail Blazers, but the Mavericks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Trail Blazers 119 – 113 Mavericks, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -1.2 / DAL -4.0 per game
+2.8
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+5.1

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Mavericks win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

DALPOR
114.1
Points scored / game
114.9
118.7
Points allowed / game
116.3
49.0 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
34.6 %
3-point %
38.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
76.7 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
44.2
Rebounds / game
46.3
27.6
Assists / game
30.7
9.0
Steals / game
8.3
7.4
Blocks / game
2.7
15.6
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Mavericks
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #326pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #125assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #39rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #523pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #86assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2317rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DAL
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DALPOR
23-50Record37-37
114.1Points scored / game114.9
118.7Points allowed / game116.3
-4.0Adjusted margin / game-1.2
L5Current streakW2
2-8Last 10 games7-3
9-27 roadHome / road record20-16 home
39-43 (-1.2)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.