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Trail Blazers vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Sunday, November 16

FinalAmerican Airlines Center · BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, KFAA-TV, MavsTV
49% win PORwin DAL 51%
FavoriteDAL
Projected margin0.3
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Dallas Mavericks (3-10) host the Portland Trail Blazers (6-6) on Sunday, November 16 at 7:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 133 – Mavericks 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 2-7 at home and the Trail Blazers are 3-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Mavericks and 5-5 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Mavericks L3, Trail Blazers L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Mavericks 116 – 115 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (115.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Mavericks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DAL -3.4 / POR -1.4 per game
-2.0
Home-court advantageMavericks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Mavericks
+0.3

Scenarios

Mavericks win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

PORDAL
115.7
Points scored / game
111.6
117.3
Points allowed / game
115.6
51.1 %
Field goal %
49.0 %
38.9 %
3-point %
34.6 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
70.8 %
Free throw %
76.7 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
44.2
30.7
Assists / game
27.6
8.3
Steals / game
9.0
2.7
Blocks / game
7.4
13.3
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1736pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #87assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds
Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3221pts / game
D'Angelo RussellG7assists
Naji MarshallF · #39rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
DAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORDAL
6-6Record3-10
115.7Points scored / game111.6
117.3Points allowed / game115.6
-1.4Adjusted margin / game-3.4
L1Current streakL3
5-5Last 10 games2-8
3-4 roadHome / road record2-7 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season39-43 (-1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.