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Clippers vs Pacers prediction NBA · Friday, March 27

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
38-36 · away
Final score
114-113
Projected: 117-112
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
16-58 · home
67% win LACwin IND 33%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin5.4
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (16-57) host the LA Clippers (37-36) on Friday, March 27 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 114 – Pacers 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 10-26 at home and the Clippers are 16-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pacers and 6-4 for the Clippers (current streaks: Pacers L1, Clippers W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 112 – 117 Clippers, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs +1.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -6.2 / LAC +1.5 per game
-7.7
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
-5.4

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
11%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Clippers win by 10+
36%

Stat comparison Current season

LACIND
113.7
Points scored / game
112.7
111.9
Points allowed / game
119.9
45.9 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
39.0 %
3-point %
31.2 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
78.6 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
44.0
25.0
Assists / game
29.4
12.5
Steals / game
6.4
4.5
Blocks / game
4.8
23.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1030pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #105assists
Brook LopezC · #119rebounds
Pacers
Aaron NesmithG · #2326pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #210assists
Obi ToppinF · #18rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAC lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

LACIND
37-36Record16-57
113.7Points scored / game112.7
111.9Points allowed / game119.9
+1.5Adjusted margin / game-6.2
W3Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games1-9
16-21 roadHome / road record10-26 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.