Pacers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 4
At a glance
The LA Clippers (29-31) host the Indiana Pacers (15-46) on Wednesday, March 4 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 107 – Clippers 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 15-13 at home and the Pacers are 5-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 2-8 for the Pacers (current streaks: Clippers W2, Pacers L6).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Clippers dominate this matchup. The model projects Clippers 118 – 110 Pacers, a margin of about 8.4 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs -5.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDLAC
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4329pts / game
Jarace WalkerF · #55assists
Micah PotterC · #96rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #229pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #108assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #28reboundsRecent form
IND
LACTeam comparison
| IND | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-46 | Record | 29-31 |
| 112.4 | Points scored / game | 112.3 |
| 118.8 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| -5.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| L6 | Current streak | W2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 5-24 road | Home / road record | 15-13 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 50-32 (+4.7) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
IND