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Pacers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 4

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
15-47 · away
Final score
107-130
Projected: 110-118
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
30-31 · home
25% win INDwin LAC 75%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin8.4
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The LA Clippers (29-31) host the Indiana Pacers (15-46) on Wednesday, March 4 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 107 – Clippers 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 15-13 at home and the Pacers are 5-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 2-8 for the Pacers (current streaks: Clippers W2, Pacers L6).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Clippers dominate this matchup. The model projects Clippers 118 – 110 Pacers, a margin of about 8.4 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs -5.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.7 / IND -5.5 per game
+6.1
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+8.4

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
45%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Pacers win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

INDLAC
112.4
Points scored / game
112.3
118.8
Points allowed / game
111.5
47.1 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
31.2 %
3-point %
39.0 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
72.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
40.8
29.4
Assists / game
25.0
6.4
Steals / game
12.5
4.8
Blocks / game
4.5
14.8
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4329pts / game
Jarace WalkerF · #55assists
Micah PotterC · #96rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #229pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #108assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #28rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAC lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

INDLAC
15-46Record29-31
112.4Points scored / game112.3
118.8Points allowed / game111.5
-5.5Adjusted margin / game+0.7
L6Current streakW2
2-8Last 10 games6-4
5-24 roadHome / road record15-13 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.