Rockets vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 25
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (44-28) host the Houston Rockets (43-28) on Wednesday, March 25 at 9:42 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 108 – Timberwolves 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 24-13 at home and the Rockets are 18-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Timberwolves and 5-5 for the Rockets (current streaks: Timberwolves W1, Rockets L1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Timberwolves 115 – 113 Rockets, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUMIN
Top performers
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2830pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #110assists
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1012reboundsTimberwolves
Jaden McDanielsF · #325pts / game
Bones HylandG · #88assists
Rudy GobertC · #2714reboundsRecent form
HOUMINHead-to-head
MIN lead 2-1 this season.
MIN
Team comparison
| HOU | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-28 | Record | 44-28 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 117.8 |
| 110.2 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| +3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 18-18 road | Home / road record | 24-13 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.