Timberwolves vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, January 16
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (23-15) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) on Friday, January 16 at 9:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 105 – Rockets 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 12-3 at home and the Timberwolves are 12-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Rockets and 7-3 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Rockets L1, Timberwolves W2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Rockets 115 – 114 Timberwolves, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Rockets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINHOU
Top performers
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3039pts / game
Bones HylandG · #85assists
Rudy GobertC · #2713reboundsRockets
Kevin DurantF · #739pts / gameKevin DurantF · #77assists
Alperen SengunC · #2814reboundsRecent form
MINHOUHead-to-head
MIN lead 2-1 this season.
MIN
Team comparison
| MIN | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-14 | Record | 23-15 |
| 119.0 | Points scored / game | 116.5 |
| 113.4 | Points allowed / game | 110.6 |
| +4.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 12-8 road | Home / road record | 12-3 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.