Pacers vs Magic prediction NBA · Monday, March 23
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (38-32) host the Indiana Pacers (15-56) on Monday, March 23 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 128 – Magic 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 22-14 at home and the Pacers are 5-31 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Magic and 0-10 for the Pacers (current streaks: Magic L4, Pacers L16).
The analysis Model
The Magic start with a clear edge. The model projects Magic 119 – 110 Pacers, a margin of about 9.3 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs -6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDORL
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4337pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #214assistsAndrew NembhardG · #27reboundsMagic
Paolo BancheroF · #539pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #37assists
Goga BitadzeC · #357reboundsRecent form
INDORL
ORL
Team comparison
| IND | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-56 | Record | 38-32 |
| 112.3 | Points scored / game | 113.8 |
| 119.7 | Points allowed / game | 113.0 |
| -6.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| L16 | Current streak | L4 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 5-31 road | Home / road record | 22-14 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.