Pacers vs Magic prediction NBA · Sunday, January 4
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (19-16) host the Indiana Pacers (6-29) on Sunday, January 4 at 3:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 127 – Magic 135. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 11-6 at home and the Pacers are 1-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Magic and 0-10 for the Pacers (current streaks: Magic L1, Pacers L11).
The analysis Model
The Magic start with a clear edge. The model projects Magic 118 – 110 Pacers, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.9 vs -5.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDORL
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4334pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #211assists
Micah PotterC · #910reboundsMagic
Desmond BaneG · #331pts / game
Anthony BlackG · #010assists
Paolo BancheroF · #512reboundsRecent form
INDORL
ORL
Team comparison
| IND | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-29 | Record | 19-16 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 118.2 | Points allowed / game | 112.7 |
| -5.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.9 |
| L11 | Current streak | L1 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 1-15 road | Home / road record | 11-6 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.