Magic vs Pacers prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 31
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (6-27) host the Orlando Magic (18-15) on Wednesday, December 31 at 3:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Magic 112 – Pacers 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 5-12 at home and the Magic are 7-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pacers and 4-6 for the Magic (current streaks: Pacers L9, Magic L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Magic, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 112 – 116 Magic, a margin of about 4.0 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.3 vs +1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ORLIND
Top performers
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #529pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #36assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3411reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4326pts / game
T.J. McConnellG · #98assists
Aaron NesmithG · #2310reboundsRecent form
ORLIND
ORL
Team comparison
| ORL | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-15 | Record | 6-27 |
| 113.7 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 112.5 | Points allowed / game | 118.2 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | L9 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 7-9 road | Home / road record | 5-12 home |
| 41-41 (-0.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Magic
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.