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76ers vs Kings prediction NBA · Thursday, March 19

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBC Sports CA, NBC Sports Phil +, NBA League Pass
61% win PHIwin SAC 39%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin3.5
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (18-52) host the Philadelphia 76ers (37-32) on Thursday, March 19 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 139 – Kings 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 12-24 at home and the 76ers are 17-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Kings and 4-6 for the 76ers (current streaks: Kings L1, 76ers L1).

The analysis Model

The 76ers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 114 – 117 76ers, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.2 vs -1.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -7.2 / PHI -1.4 per game
-5.8
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-3.5

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

PHISAC
114.4
Points scored / game
111.5
116.1
Points allowed / game
119.9
42.8 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
32.6 %
3-point %
30.0 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
41.5
24.6
Assists / game
22.8
9.8
Steals / game
6.8
5.6
Blocks / game
2.5
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

76ers
VJ EdgecombeG · #7738pts / game
VJ EdgecombeG · #7711assists
Andre DrummondC · #011rebounds
Kings
Maxime RaynaudC · #4230pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #188assists
Dylan CardwellC · #3213rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHI lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PHISAC
37-32Record18-52
114.4Points scored / game111.5
116.1Points allowed / game119.9
-1.4Adjusted margin / game-7.2
L1Current streakL1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
17-16 roadHome / road record12-24 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.