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Kings vs 76ers prediction NBA · Thursday, January 29

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
25% win SACwin PHI 75%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin8.6
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (25-21) host the Sacramento Kings (12-36) on Thursday, January 29 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Kings 111 – 76ers 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 13-13 at home and the Kings are 3-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the 76ers and 4-6 for the Kings (current streaks: 76ers W1, Kings L6).

The analysis Model

On paper, the 76ers dominate this matchup. The model projects 76ers 120 – 111 Kings, a margin of about 8.6 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.6 vs -6.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' offense (115.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.6 / SAC -6.9 per game
+6.3
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
+8.6

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
46%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Kings win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

SACPHI
111.5
Points scored / game
115.2
119.7
Points allowed / game
115.9
44.5 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
30.0 %
3-point %
32.6 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
73.1 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
42.2
22.8
Assists / game
24.6
6.8
Steals / game
9.8
2.5
Blocks / game
5.6
14.3
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Kings
Dennis SchroderG · #1727pts / game
DeMar DeRozanG · #108assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #913rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #040pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08assists
Joel EmbiidC · #215rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHI lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

SACPHI
12-36Record25-21
111.5Points scored / game115.2
119.7Points allowed / game115.9
-6.9Adjusted margin / game-0.6
L6Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games4-6
3-20 roadHome / road record13-13 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.