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Raptors vs Bulls prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 18

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, TSN, NBA League Pass
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
39-29 · away
Final score
139-109
Projected: 116-115
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
28-41 · home
55% win TORwin CHI 45%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin1.5
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (28-40) host the Toronto Raptors (38-29) on Wednesday, March 18 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 139 – Bulls 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 17-18 at home and the Raptors are 19-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bulls and 4-6 for the Raptors (current streaks: Bulls W1, Raptors W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bulls 115 – 116 Raptors, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (116.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.1 / TOR +0.7 per game
-3.8
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-1.5

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Raptors win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

TORCHI
113.2
Points scored / game
116.3
112.4
Points allowed / game
119.9
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
30.4 %
3-point %
27.6 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
79.0 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.3
Assists / game
24.4
14.3
Steals / game
9.0
5.5
Blocks / game
4.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #923pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #198rebounds
Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1419pts / game
Collin SextonG · #105assists
Matas BuzelisF · #147rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORCHI
38-29Record28-40
113.2Points scored / game116.3
112.4Points allowed / game119.9
+0.7Adjusted margin / game-3.1
W2Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games4-6
19-13 roadHome / road record17-18 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.